Independent research on market mechanicsResearch note 1 · October 2026

A price is only
part of the picture.

Two order books can show the same price and a different cost for your order. Our first research note makes that difference visible, one level at a time.

Read the research note
Illustrative YES asksContracts available
48¢
20
50¢
60
55¢
120
Synthetic example. The best price has room for 20 contracts, not the entire book.
The question

What does a best quote leave out about an order’s cost?

The method

Two disclosed examples. The same arithmetic at every price level.

The boundary

No live market sample, return forecast, or trading strategy.

Research you can inspect.

The method stays with the result.

Each report names its data, units, window, assumptions, and limitations. This inaugural report is a worked example, so its figures are explicitly synthetic.

Read the methodology

Kalshi Report is an independent publication, not affiliated with or endorsed by Kalshi. Editorial information, not a trading recommendation.